Licata vs Rende analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
21%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Licata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
LIC
0 - 0
ASD
66%
19%
16%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
GEL
1 - 1
LIC
38%
24%
38%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
LIC
1 - 1
SMC
43%
25%
33%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
ROT
1 - 0
LIC
25%
22%
53%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
LIC
1 - 0
LUC
51%
21%
28%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Rende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
REN
3 - 2
MES
32%
27%
41%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
REN
1 - 0
SMC
20%
21%
60%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +2 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
ASD
2 - 0
REN
39%
25%
36%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
REN
1 - 4
DAT
42%
23%
35%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
LUC
3 - 2
REN
57%
20%
23%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |