Licata vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
50.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Licata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2021 |
SMC
1 - 1
LIC
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
REN
0 - 0
LIC
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
LIC
0 - 1
CIT
32%
27%
41%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 1
LIC
41%
25%
35%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
LIC
1 - 3
ROT
54%
22%
24%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
ASD
0 - 4
MES
21%
27%
52%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
MES
4 - 1
REN
62%
22%
16%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
LUC
1 - 1
MES
36%
27%
38%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
MES
0 - 0
SMC
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
PAT
1 - 2
MES
32%
27%
41%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |