Licata vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
43%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Licata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
FCS
3 - 2
LIC
51%
23%
26%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
CAV
1 - 0
LIC
58%
23%
20%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
LIC
1 - 1
ASD
63%
21%
16%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
GEL
2 - 0
LIC
37%
24%
39%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
LIC
1 - 1
USV
54%
23%
22%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
MES
1 - 0
CAV
51%
25%
24%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ASD
1 - 3
MES
27%
27%
46%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
MES
0 - 0
GEL
68%
20%
12%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
USV
0 - 1
MES
30%
28%
42%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
MES
3 - 1
ACP
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |