Licata vs Cittanova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
14.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Licata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
CIT
3 - 0
LIC
57%
24%
20%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
PAT
1 - 0
LIC
45%
23%
33%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
LIC
0 - 1
BIA
69%
17%
13%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
ROC
1 - 2
LIC
24%
23%
53%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
LIC
3 - 0
MDR
73%
16%
11%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cittanova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
CCI
2 - 4
USC
44%
24%
32%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
CCI
0 - 0
CSA
42%
23%
35%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
MDR
0 - 0
CCI
41%
23%
36%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
CCI
2 - 2
REN
33%
24%
43%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
MES
0 - 0
CCI
67%
19%
14%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |