Licata vs FC Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
40.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Licata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 1
LIC
41%
25%
35%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
LIC
1 - 3
ROT
54%
22%
24%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
LIC
2 - 2
GEL
34%
27%
39%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
LUC
2 - 1
LIC
54%
22%
25%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
LIC
1 - 0
ACI
39%
23%
39%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
FC Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
CIT
1 - 1
ACI
55%
24%
21%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
ROT
1 - 1
CIT
30%
28%
43%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
ROC
0 - 3
CIT
14%
23%
63%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
CIT
3 - 1
BIA
64%
22%
14%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
CCI
0 - 0
CIT
26%
25%
49%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |