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Serie D. Group I, Matchday 17

Licata Castrovillari
33 ELO 19
3% Tilt 51%
3989º General ELO ranking 6811º
107º Country ELO ranking 250º
ELO win probability
43.6%
Licata
23.8%
Draw
32.6%
Castrovillari

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
Licata
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
32.6%
Win probability
Castrovillari
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Licata
-34%
+4%
Castrovillari

Points and table prediction

Licata
Their league position
Castrovillari
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
13º
10º
41
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Messina
74
74
100%
Città di Messina
72
72
100%
Gelbison
64
64
100%
San Luca
58
58
100%
Acireale
57
57
100%
Dattilo
52
52
100%
Rotonda
49
49
100%
Biancavilla
47
47
100%
Santa Maria Cilento
45
45
100%
Licata
10º
43
43
10º
100%
Castrovillari
11º
41
41
11º
100%
A.S.D. Paternò 1908
12º
39
39
12º
50%
Cittanovese
13º
39
39
13º
50%
Cittá Di Sant'Agata
14º
36
36
14º
50%
Troina
15º
36
36
15º
50%
Rende
16º
34
34
16º
100%
Marina di Ragusa
17º
33
33
17º
100%
Roccella
18º
20
20
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Licata
Castrovillari
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Licata
LIC
Castrovillari
USC
Dattilo
DAT
Marina di Ragusa
MDR
A.S.D. Paternò 1908
PAT
Città di Messina
CIT
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Licata
Licata
1%
X%
2%
ELO LIC ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Feb. 2021
CSA
Cittá Di Sant'Agata
0 - 1
Licata
LIC
42%
27%
31%
436 286 -150 +1
03 Feb. 2021
MES
Messina
0 - 0
Licata
LIC
46%
27%
28%
436 370 -66 0
31 Jan. 2021
LIC
Licata
1 - 2
Rende
REN
51%
25%
23%
438 262 176 -3
14 Mar. 2021
CIT
Città di Messina
3 - 0
Licata
LIC
42%
28%
31%
438 295 -143 0
17 Jan. 2021
LIC
Licata
0 - 0
Troina
ASD
47%
27%
26%
439 303 136 0

Matches

Castrovillari
Castrovillari
1%
X%
2%
ELO USC ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Mar. 2021
CCI
Cittanovese
2 - 4
Castrovillari
USC
45%
27%
28%
254 258 4 0
07 Apr. 2021
USC
Castrovillari
2 - 0
Roccella
ROC
47%
27%
26%
252 219 33 0
03 Feb. 2021
USC
Castrovillari
1 - 1
Città di Messina
CIT
46%
27%
28%
252 295 -43 0
10 Mar. 2021
ROT
Rotonda
0 - 0
Castrovillari
USC
45%
27%
28%
252 270 18 0
27 Jan. 2021
USC
Castrovillari
1 - 2
Acireale
ACI
41%
28%
31%
254 319 -65 0