Libya vs Togo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
IRQ
3 - 1
LBY
67%
21%
12%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1999 |
SCG
0 - 1
LBY
67%
19%
13%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1999 |
LBY
2 - 2
PSE
69%
20%
11%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1999 |
SYR
1 - 1
LBY
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
IRQ
0 - 2
LBY
69%
21%
11%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | +2 |
Matches
Togo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1999 |
BFA
1 - 1
TGO
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
BFA
1 - 0
TGO
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1999 |
TGO
1 - 2
BFA
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1999 |
CIV
3 - 1
TGO
81%
13%
6%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
TGO
0 - 1
MLI
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |