Libya vs Niger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
LBR
2 - 3
LBY
28%
27%
45%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
LBY
1 - 1
EQG
35%
25%
40%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
BOT
1 - 0
LBY
33%
29%
38%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
LBY
0 - 1
TUN
18%
27%
55%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
TUN
3 - 0
LBY
74%
17%
9%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Niger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
NIG
3 - 0
SOM
71%
17%
12%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
NIG
0 - 2
UGA
27%
26%
47%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
TAN
1 - 0
NIG
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
NIG
0 - 1
ALG
12%
25%
63%
|
55 | 85 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
ALG
2 - 1
NIG
82%
12%
6%
|
56 | 85 | 29 | -1 |