Libya vs Equatorial Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
39.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
BWA
1 - 0
LBY
33%
29%
38%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
LBY
0 - 1
TUN
18%
27%
55%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
TUN
3 - 0
LBY
74%
17%
9%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
LBY
3 - 1
ETH
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2023 |
MOZ
3 - 2
LBY
33%
29%
38%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
GNQ
1 - 0
TUN
16%
27%
57%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
BWA
2 - 3
GNQ
25%
26%
49%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
GNQ
2 - 0
BWA
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
GNQ
2 - 2
TGO
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
GNQ
0 - 0
RWA
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |