Libya vs Ethiopia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
LBY
1 - 1
NIG
66%
21%
13%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
CMR
1 - 0
LBY
66%
22%
11%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
JOR
2 - 1
LBY
60%
24%
16%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2013 |
LBY
2 - 0
TOG
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2013 |
LBY
0 - 0
COD
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ethiopia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
NGA
2 - 1
ETH
80%
14%
6%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
NGA
2 - 0
ETH
80%
14%
6%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
ETH
1 - 2
NGA
20%
28%
53%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
CTA
1 - 2
ETH
9%
16%
75%
|
61 | 15 | 46 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
ETH
2 - 1
RSA
18%
25%
58%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | +1 |