Libertas vs Tre Penne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
LIB
1 - 1
FIO
29%
24%
47%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
TPE
0 - 1
LIB
48%
25%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
LIB
1 - 0
VIR
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
LIB
0 - 1
MUR
39%
25%
37%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
JUV
2 - 3
LIB
27%
28%
46%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Tre Penne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
TPE
0 - 1
LIB
48%
25%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
PEN
2 - 0
TPE
33%
26%
41%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
FIO
0 - 2
TPE
54%
23%
24%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
TPE
1 - 0
FIO
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
FIO
2 - 3
TPE
44%
23%
33%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |