Libertas vs Tre Penne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
35.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 3
LIB
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
FOL
3 - 3
LIB
27%
27%
47%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
LIB
0 - 0
SGI
68%
18%
14%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
LIB
2 - 2
JUV
49%
25%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
FIO
0 - 0
LIB
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Tre Penne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
TPE
4 - 1
SGI
72%
17%
11%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
TPE
2 - 1
DOM
75%
16%
9%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
SGI
2 - 0
TPE
18%
22%
60%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
COS
1 - 2
TPE
37%
25%
37%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
TPE
1 - 1
MUR
49%
25%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |