Libertas vs San Giovanni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
14.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
LIB
2 - 0
MUR
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
FOL
1 - 2
LIB
67%
21%
13%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
LIB
4 - 1
DOM
47%
27%
27%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 1
LIB
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CAI
0 - 2
LIB
32%
27%
41%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
San Giovanni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
CAI
0 - 1
SGI
63%
19%
18%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SGI
0 - 4
PEN
22%
25%
53%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
SGI
0 - 4
FOL
16%
22%
63%
|
36 | 65 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
SGI
0 - 4
TPE
16%
20%
64%
|
37 | 63 | 26 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
MUR
5 - 2
SGI
78%
14%
9%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |