Libertad vs Universidad Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
28%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
AME
0 - 2
LIB
28%
26%
47%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
UCE
0 - 1
LIB
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
12O
2 - 1
LIB
19%
23%
58%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
LIB
2 - 1
RPA
69%
20%
11%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 0
LIB
24%
25%
51%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
UCE
1 - 1
TEC
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
UCE
0 - 1
LIB
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
LIG
2 - 1
UCE
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
UCE
3 - 0
LFC
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
UCE
3 - 3
MAN
68%
20%
13%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |