Conmebol Sudamericana . Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Libertad vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
37.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
LIB
3 - 3
12O
62%
23%
15%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 1
LIB
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 0
LIB
32%
26%
42%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
29D
0 - 5
LIB
15%
19%
67%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
LIB
1 - 1
AME
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 1
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 1
LIB
48%
24%
28%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 0
COR
51%
26%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
SDJ
2 - 0
SAN
8%
19%
74%
|
82 | 51 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 1
SAN
21%
27%
53%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |