Libertad vs Club River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
8.3%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2020 |
LIB
0 - 1
AME
67%
21%
13%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
LIB
3 - 2
CFC
66%
21%
13%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
LIB
5 - 1
GEN
74%
18%
9%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
IND
1 - 2
LIB
41%
24%
34%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
GUA
3 - 2
LIB
17%
23%
60%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Club River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2020 |
OLI
1 - 1
RPA
80%
14%
6%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
RPA
0 - 2
12O
62%
22%
15%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -3 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
RPA
1 - 3
CAL
24%
24%
52%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2020 |
RPA
4 - 2
SPO
46%
26%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
CAL
2 - 1
RPA
62%
22%
15%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |