Libertad vs Newell's Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
LIB
3 - 1
12O
62%
22%
15%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
LIB
1 - 2
ATL
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
RPA
1 - 3
LIB
21%
25%
54%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
NOB
1 - 3
LIB
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
LIB
1 - 1
NAC
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2021 |
NOB
1 - 1
SAR
56%
23%
20%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
PAL
0 - 1
NOB
47%
24%
29%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2021 |
CEN
3 - 0
NOB
49%
25%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
NOB
1 - 3
LIB
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
GLP
2 - 1
NOB
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |