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Clausura Paraguay. Matchday 1

Libertad Guaireña
47 ELO 23
8% Tilt 22%
839º General ELO ranking 5307º
Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
54.7%
Libertad
22.4%
Draw
22.9%
Guaireña

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
Libertad
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
22.9%
Win probability
Guaireña
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Basic stats

62
38
POS
4
4
SOT
7
6
COR
11
6
FRK
47
23
ELO
1.9
1.1
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Libertad
Their league position
Guaireña
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
4
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Guaraní
7
8
50%
Club River Plate
7
8
50%
Guaireña
4
5
24%
Sportivo Luqueño
4
5
24%
Sol de América
4
5
24%
Libertad
3
4
19%
Cerro Porteño
3
4
19%
Olimpia
3
4
19%
Nacional
2
3
41%
12 de Octubre
10º
1
2
10º
79%
Expected probabilities
Libertad
Guaireña
Champion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Libertad
LIB
Guaireña
GUA
Junior
JUN
Club River Plate
RPA
Envigado
ENV
Cerro Porteño
CCP
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Libertad
Libertad
1%
X%
2%
ELO LIB ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Jul. 2021
JUN
Junior
3 - 4
Libertad
LIB
72%
18%
10%
1269 2227 958 +20
29 May. 2021
LQE
Sportivo Luqueño
1 - 3
Libertad
LIB
30%
27%
44%
1264 422 -842 +2
26 May. 2021
PAL
Palestino
1 - 2
Libertad
LIB
61%
22%
17%
1247 1827 580 +18
22 May. 2021
LIB
Libertad
1 - 2
Sol de América
AME
62%
22%
17%
1249 592 657 -4
20 May. 2021
ATL
Atlético GO
0 - 0
Libertad
LIB
51%
26%
23%
1247 1405 158 +3

Matches

Guaireña
Guaireña
1%
X%
2%
ELO GUA ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 May. 2021
AME
Sol de América
0 - 0
Guaireña
GUA
51%
25%
24%
324 596 272 +1
22 May. 2021
GUA
Guaireña
0 - 0
Guaraní
GUA
36%
27%
38%
323 830 -507 +1
16 May. 2021
12O
12 de Octubre
1 - 1
Guaireña
GUA
45%
27%
28%
323 336 13 0
10 May. 2021
GUA
Guaireña
0 - 0
Club River Plate
RPA
46%
27%
27%
323 341 -18 0
01 May. 2021
NAC
Nacional
1 - 3
Guaireña
GUA
56%
25%
20%
317 647 330 +5