Libertad vs Guaireña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
JUN
3 - 4
LIB
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
LQE
1 - 3
LIB
27%
25%
49%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2021 |
PAL
1 - 2
LIB
34%
24%
42%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
LIB
1 - 2
AME
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2021 |
ATL
0 - 0
LIB
38%
25%
36%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Guaireña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2021 |
AME
0 - 0
GUA
41%
27%
33%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 0
GUA
32%
27%
41%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
12O
1 - 1
GUA
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 0
RPA
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 3
GUA
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |