Libertad vs General Díaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
14.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
STR
1 - 1
LIB
47%
24%
30%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
GUA
3 - 1
LIB
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
LIB
1 - 0
CCP
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
AME
2 - 0
LIB
36%
26%
38%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2018 |
LIB
3 - 1
SAN
67%
22%
11%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
General Díaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
GEN
1 - 3
CCP
23%
24%
53%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2019 |
AME
3 - 0
GEN
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2019 |
GEN
2 - 0
SAN
50%
27%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
LQE
2 - 2
GEN
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
AME
1 - 0
GEN
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |