Libertad vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
OLI
0 - 1
LIB
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2020 |
LIB
1 - 3
GUA
50%
25%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -3 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
LIB
2 - 1
OLI
31%
24%
45%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
PAL
3 - 0
LIB
65%
20%
16%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
LIB
1 - 1
GUA
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
CCP
1 - 0
LQE
63%
21%
15%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
AME
1 - 3
CCP
28%
26%
46%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
CCP
1 - 1
OLI
35%
24%
41%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -4 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
12O
2 - 1
CCP
16%
23%
61%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2020 |
CCP
1 - 1
SPO
76%
16%
8%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |