Libertad vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
43.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
LIB
2 - 1
NAC
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
LQE
0 - 2
LIB
35%
26%
39%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
LIB
1 - 2
ALI
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
LIB
4 - 0
RES
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
LIB
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
ATM
2 - 1
ATP
62%
22%
17%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
ATP
2 - 1
CRB
72%
19%
10%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FLU
2 - 0
ATP
59%
22%
19%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
ATP
2 - 1
ATM
30%
27%
43%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ATP
2 - 0
GOI
59%
23%
18%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | +1 |