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Copa Libertadores qualifying. Fase 3, Final

Aggregate 2-4. Vuelta 4-1
Libertad At. Nacional
55 ELO 77
-9% Tilt -17%
684º General ELO ranking 106º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
26.2%
Libertad
27.4%
Draw
46.4%
At. Nacional

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
Libertad
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
46.4%
Win probability
At. Nacional
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

Basic stats

47
53
POS
12
11
SOT
4
2
COR
1
0
GF
0
1
GC
55
77
ELO
1
1.4
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team