Libertad vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
34.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
LIB
0 - 1
OLI
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
LIB
1 - 1
GUA
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
LIB
2 - 0
LQE
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
LIB
2 - 2
UCE
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
AME
0 - 2
LIB
28%
26%
47%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
NAC
3 - 0
ENV
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
TOL
2 - 1
NAC
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
IND
0 - 0
NAC
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
NAC
3 - 1
JAG
70%
19%
11%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
MIL
1 - 2
NAC
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |