Libertad vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
28.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
LIB
25%
28%
47%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 0
RÑU
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 2
CCP
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 1
LIB
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
LIB
1 - 0
LQE
56%
25%
19%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
ENV
1 - 2
NAC
32%
28%
40%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 2
HUI
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
IND
0 - 1
NAC
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 0
AGU
57%
25%
19%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
SFE
2 - 0
NAC
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |