Liberia vs Sierra Leone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
57.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
KEN
1 - 0
LBR
39%
24%
37%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
TUN
4 - 1
LBR
83%
12%
5%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
LBR
2 - 2
TGO
28%
24%
47%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
LBR
5 - 0
DJI
69%
20%
12%
|
56 | 32 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
DJI
0 - 1
LBR
15%
19%
66%
|
56 | 32 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Sierra Leone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
CIV
1 - 1
SLE
80%
15%
6%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
SLE
1 - 0
SDN
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
SLE
1 - 0
GAB
28%
26%
46%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
GAB
2 - 1
SLE
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
SLE
2 - 1
TCD
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |