WC Qual. Africa Segunda Ronda. Jor. 5

Liberia vs Nigeria analysis

Liberia Nigeria
55 ELO 84
-16.8% Tilt -7.3%
3491º General ELO ranking 226º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
12.3%
Liberia
22.9%
Draw
64.8%
Nigeria

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.3%
Win probability
Liberia
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
64.8%
Win probability
Nigeria
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
17.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO progression

Liberia
Nigeria
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Liberia
Liberia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Oct. 2021
CPV
Cape Verde
1 - 0
Liberia
LBR
63%
21%
17%
56 65 9 0
07 Oct. 2021
LBR
Liberia
1 - 2
Cape Verde
CPV
26%
27%
48%
56 65 9 0
30 Sep. 2021
EGY
Egypt
2 - 0
Liberia
LBR
83%
13%
5%
57 85 28 -1
06 Sep. 2021
CAF
Central African Republic
0 - 1
Liberia
LBR
8%
14%
79%
57 34 23 0
03 Sep. 2021
NGA
Nigeria
2 - 0
Liberia
LBR
81%
14%
5%
57 84 27 0

Matches

Nigeria
Nigeria
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Oct. 2021
CAF
Central African Republic
0 - 2
Nigeria
NGA
6%
17%
78%
84 35 49 0
07 Oct. 2021
NGA
Nigeria
0 - 1
Central African Republic
CAF
91%
7%
2%
84 33 51 0
07 Sep. 2021
CPV
Cape Verde
1 - 2
Nigeria
NGA
22%
27%
51%
84 65 19 0
03 Sep. 2021
NGA
Nigeria
2 - 0
Liberia
LBR
81%
14%
5%
84 57 27 0
04 Jul. 2021
MEX
Mexico
4 - 0
Nigeria
NGA
70%
19%
11%
84 91 7 0
X