Liberia vs Algeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.7%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
51.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
GMB
3 - 0
LBR
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
SEN
3 - 1
LBR
88%
9%
3%
|
53 | 84 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2008 |
LBR
2 - 2
SEN
11%
20%
68%
|
53 | 84 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2008 |
DZA
3 - 0
LBR
78%
15%
7%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
LBR
1 - 1
GMB
30%
26%
44%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2008 |
DZA
3 - 2
SEN
37%
28%
35%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
DZA
1 - 0
ARE
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2008 |
DZA
1 - 0
GMB
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
GMB
1 - 0
DZA
36%
29%
35%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2008 |
DZA
3 - 0
LBR
78%
15%
7%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | 0 |