Liberia vs Libya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
45.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
GHA
3 - 1
LBR
79%
16%
6%
|
53 | 81 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
LBR
1 - 2
RSA
10%
19%
71%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
RSA
2 - 2
LBR
75%
18%
8%
|
53 | 79 | 26 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
EGY
3 - 0
LBR
82%
13%
5%
|
54 | 84 | 30 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
NIG
0 - 0
LBR
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
LBY
1 - 1
EQG
35%
25%
40%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
BOT
1 - 0
LBY
33%
29%
38%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
LBY
0 - 1
TUN
18%
27%
55%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
TUN
3 - 0
LBY
74%
17%
9%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
LBY
3 - 1
ETH
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |