Arab Cup Qualifying . Final

Lebanon vs Yibuti analysis

Lebanon Yibuti
63 ELO 32
-6.4% Tilt -12.4%
2264º General ELO ranking 8010º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
80%
Lebanon
14.2%
Draw
5.8%
Yibuti

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
Lebanon
2.41
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.8%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
5.8%
Win probability
Yibuti
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lebanon
-23%
+3%
Yibuti

ELO progression

Lebanon
Yibuti
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lebanon
Lebanon
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jun. 2021
KOR
South Korea
2 - 1
Lebanon
LBN
79%
15%
6%
64 88 24 0
09 Jun. 2021
TKM
Turkmenistan
3 - 2
Lebanon
LBN
30%
26%
44%
64 56 8 0
05 Jun. 2021
LBN
Lebanon
3 - 2
Sri Lanka
LKA
82%
13%
4%
64 26 38 0
29 Mar. 2021
KWT
Kuwait
1 - 1
Lebanon
LBN
66%
20%
14%
64 72 8 0
24 Mar. 2021
JOR
Jordan
1 - 0
Lebanon
LBN
54%
26%
21%
65 73 8 -1

Matches

Yibuti
Yibuti
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Jun. 2021
DJI
Yibuti
1 - 0
Somalia
SOM
46%
21%
34%
32 34 2 0
12 Nov. 2020
CAB
Camerún B
1 - 1
Yibuti
DJI
6%
11%
83%
32 8 24 0
09 Nov. 2020
CMR
Cameroon
2 - 1
Yibuti
DJI
85%
12%
4%
32 82 50 0
13 Oct. 2019
GMB
Gambia
1 - 1
Yibuti
DJI
70%
19%
12%
32 62 30 0
09 Oct. 2019
DJI
Yibuti
1 - 1
Gambia
GMB
9%
15%
76%
31 62 31 +1
X