Arab Cup Fase de Grupos. Jor. 3

Lebanon vs Sudan analysis

Lebanon Sudan
64 ELO 59
-6.7% Tilt -15.2%
2276º General ELO ranking 2424º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
52.8%
Lebanon
25.2%
Draw
22%
Sudan

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
Lebanon
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
22%
Win probability
Sudan
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lebanon
-23%
+2%
Sudan

ELO progression

Lebanon
Sudan
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lebanon
Lebanon
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Dec. 2021
LBN
Lebanon
0 - 2
Algeria
DZA
15%
21%
64%
64 83 19 0
01 Dec. 2021
EGY
Egypt
1 - 0
Lebanon
LBN
78%
16%
7%
64 85 21 0
16 Nov. 2021
LBN
Lebanon
0 - 1
UAE
ARE
24%
25%
51%
64 78 14 0
11 Nov. 2021
LBN
Lebanon
1 - 2
Iran
IRN
10%
22%
68%
64 89 25 0
12 Oct. 2021
SYR
Syria
2 - 3
Lebanon
LBN
66%
20%
14%
64 72 8 0

Matches

Sudan
Sudan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Dec. 2021
SDN
Sudan
0 - 5
Egypt
EGY
12%
19%
70%
60 85 25 0
01 Dec. 2021
DZA
Algeria
4 - 0
Sudan
SDN
85%
11%
4%
61 83 22 -1
15 Nov. 2021
GNB
Guinea-Bissau
0 - 0
Sudan
SDN
27%
24%
50%
61 54 7 0
12 Nov. 2021
SDN
Sudan
0 - 3
Morocco
MAR
10%
23%
67%
61 88 27 0
09 Oct. 2021
GIN
Guinea
2 - 2
Sudan
SDN
71%
18%
11%
61 74 13 0
X