FA Cup Previa 3
Global 10-2
Lewes vs Sheppey United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
29.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lewes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SHE
2 - 2
LEW
31%
23%
46%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
LEW
0 - 0
HAS
48%
25%
28%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
COR
1 - 1
LEW
23%
25%
53%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
LEW
2 - 1
BIS
23%
25%
53%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
LEW
2 - 0
CAR
52%
24%
24%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sheppey United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SHE
2 - 2
LEW
31%
23%
46%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
SHE
0 - 1
SIT
81%
12%
7%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BEC
2 - 1
SHE
16%
18%
66%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 2
SHE
25%
21%
55%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SHE
0 - 0
NEW
57%
20%
23%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -1 |