FA Cup . Previa 3
Global 5-4
Lewes vs Leatherhead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
40.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lewes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
LEA
2 - 2
LEW
50%
24%
26%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
LEA
1 - 4
LEW
63%
20%
17%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
LEW
0 - 2
HOR
22%
21%
57%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 0
LEW
51%
23%
26%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
LEW
0 - 2
BOW
26%
24%
50%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Leatherhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
LEA
2 - 2
LEW
50%
24%
26%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
LEA
1 - 4
LEW
63%
20%
17%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 0
LEA
64%
20%
16%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
LEA
1 - 2
ENF
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
FOL
1 - 1
LEA
64%
21%
16%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |