Lewes vs Horsham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
45%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lewes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
POT
1 - 3
LEW
60%
21%
19%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
LEW
2 - 2
CHE
22%
21%
57%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
CRA
3 - 1
LEW
83%
11%
6%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
LEW
2 - 1
DAR
10%
17%
73%
|
24 | 47 | 23 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
AVE
2 - 4
LEW
74%
16%
10%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
HOR
3 - 0
MER
71%
17%
12%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
HAR
3 - 1
HOR
52%
22%
26%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
HOR
0 - 2
HOR
21%
24%
55%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -2 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
EAS
1 - 2
HOR
26%
23%
51%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
HOR
2 - 1
MET
44%
24%
32%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |