Lewes vs Grays Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
36.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lewes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
HAM
2 - 1
LEW
53%
23%
25%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
LEW
1 - 5
MAR
33%
25%
43%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
DUL
2 - 0
LEW
69%
18%
13%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
TON
2 - 0
LEW
48%
24%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
LEW
0 - 2
BIL
42%
25%
34%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Grays Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
GRA
1 - 0
PEA
45%
23%
32%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
GRA
1 - 0
HOR
29%
24%
47%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
HAM
0 - 4
GRA
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
WHI
1 - 1
GRA
61%
20%
18%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
GRA
1 - 1
LEA
37%
24%
38%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |