Lewes vs Cheshunt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
56.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lewes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
CRA
3 - 1
LEW
83%
11%
6%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
LEW
2 - 1
DAR
10%
17%
73%
|
24 | 47 | 23 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
AVE
2 - 4
LEW
74%
16%
10%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
EAS
2 - 3
LEW
81%
13%
6%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
SEV
2 - 4
LEW
49%
25%
26%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cheshunt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
CHE
3 - 0
EAS
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 1
CHE
27%
24%
49%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2021 |
CHE
2 - 2
FIS
66%
20%
14%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
DUL
3 - 1
CHE
53%
21%
26%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
LOW
0 - 3
CHE
35%
23%
42%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +2 |