Levadia vs Tallinna Kalev analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
8.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Levadia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
LEV
2 - 2
TJK
71%
18%
12%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
KAL
1 - 2
LEV
32%
24%
44%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
TUL
3 - 2
LEV
10%
17%
74%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
LEV
5 - 0
PAR
87%
10%
3%
|
77 | 45 | 32 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
TJK
1 - 2
LEV
17%
20%
63%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Tallinna Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
NOM
0 - 2
TAL
39%
23%
38%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
NOM
2 - 2
TAL
37%
23%
39%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
WEL
2 - 3
TAL
16%
22%
63%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
TAL
2 - 2
NOM
53%
21%
26%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
TAL
1 - 0
FLO
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |