Levadia vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.4%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
7.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9.1%
4-0
12.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.2%
3-0
16.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.6%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.2%
7.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
7.5%
2%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Levadia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
TUL
0 - 4
LEV
3%
12%
86%
|
82 | 43 | 39 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
LEV
3 - 2
TAL
78%
15%
8%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | +6 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
FLO
3 - 0
LEV
49%
22%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
LEV
4 - 0
KUR
86%
10%
4%
|
77 | 44 | 33 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
WEL
0 - 5
LEV
4%
10%
86%
|
77 | 40 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
PAR
3 - 1
KUR
33%
22%
46%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
TRA
1 - 1
PAR
80%
13%
7%
|
32 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 3
PAI
17%
21%
62%
|
33 | 57 | 24 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
KAL
4 - 0
PAR
89%
8%
3%
|
33 | 77 | 44 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 4
LEV
6%
15%
78%
|
33 | 77 | 44 | 0 |