Meistriliiga Round 21

Levadia vs Harju JK Laagri analysis

Levadia Harju JK Laagri
77 ELO 70
5% Tilt 5.4%
916º General ELO ranking 1390º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
49.1%
Levadia
23.6%
Draw
27.3%
Harju JK Laagri

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
Levadia
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27.3%
Win probability
Harju JK Laagri
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Levadia
+18%
-26%
Harju JK Laagri

Points and table prediction

Levadia
Their league position
Harju JK Laagri
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
15
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Levadia
50
75
69%
FC Flora
44
69
35.5%
Nomme Kalju
38
66
32.5%
Paide
38
63
38%
Narva Trans
35
60
49.5%
Vaprus Pärnu
23
42
44%
Harju JK Laagri
15
40
33%
Tammeka
19
37
30.5%
Kuressaare
14
30
37%
Tallinna Kalev
10º
13
28
10º
59%
Expected probabilities
Levadia
Harju JK Laagri
Champions League qualifying phase
69% 0%
Conference League knock out round
26% 0%
Mid-table
5% 89%
Relegation play-offs
0% 10%
Relegation
0% 1%

ELO progression

Levadia
Harju JK Laagri
Vaprus Pärnu
Kuressaare
Paide
FC Flora
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Levadia
Levadia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Jul. 2025
RIG
FK RFS
1 - 0
Levadia
LEV
51%
23%
27%
77 78 1 0
08 Jul. 2025
LEV
Levadia
0 - 1
FK RFS
RIG
43%
23%
34%
77 77 0 0
04 Jul. 2025
PAI
Paide
0 - 3
Levadia
LEV
46%
25%
29%
77 77 0 0
27 Jun. 2025
LEV
Levadia
2 - 1
Narva Trans
TRA
46%
26%
29%
77 77 0 0
21 Jun. 2025
LEV
Levadia
3 - 1
Nomme Kalju
KAL
44%
26%
30%
77 77 0 0

Matches

Harju JK Laagri
Harju JK Laagri
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jul. 2025
TAL
Tallinna Kalev
3 - 1
Harju JK Laagri
HJP
23%
21%
57%
72 61 11 0
29 Jun. 2025
HJP
Harju JK Laagri
1 - 1
Kuressaare
KUR
62%
21%
17%
72 66 6 0
18 Jun. 2025
KAL
Nomme Kalju
1 - 0
Harju JK Laagri
HJP
52%
22%
26%
72 76 4 0
13 Jun. 2025
TAM
Tammeka
2 - 1
Harju JK Laagri
HJP
28%
23%
49%
72 64 8 0
31 May. 2025
HJP
Harju JK Laagri
0 - 1
Levadia
LEV
44%
25%
32%
73 76 3 -1