Lesotho vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
65.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
ZMB
3 - 1
LSO
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MWI
1 - 1
LSO
52%
25%
24%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
SWZ
2 - 0
LSO
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
LSO
2 - 1
MUS
73%
19%
8%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
LSO
2 - 1
MWI
34%
29%
37%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
ZMB
3 - 1
LSO
73%
17%
10%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
ISR
4 - 2
ZMB
69%
18%
13%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
MLI
1 - 0
ZMB
57%
23%
19%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
ZMB
0 - 1
MOZ
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
MOZ
0 - 0
ZMB
16%
23%
62%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |