Lernayin vs Ararat-Armenia II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
19.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lernayin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
WAR
3 - 2
LER
80%
14%
7%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
LER
3 - 0
SHI
69%
18%
13%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
PYU
0 - 1
LER
29%
22%
50%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
JSF
4 - 0
LER
72%
17%
11%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
LER
1 - 0
PYU
71%
17%
12%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ararat-Armenia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
ARA
1 - 2
BAN
25%
21%
54%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2021 |
ARA
1 - 1
ARA
57%
21%
23%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
ARA
0 - 5
BKM
23%
23%
55%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
ARA
5 - 2
ARA
46%
22%
31%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
NOV
2 - 0
ARA
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |