Zrinjski vs Leotar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.7%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
5.5%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
78
1º
6º
1º
34
6º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zrinjski
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
ZRI
3 - 2
TIR
56%
23%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
ZRI
1 - 2
ZEL
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
TIR
0 - 1
ZRI
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
SHF
1 - 0
ZRI
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
ZRI
0 - 0
SHF
50%
24%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Leotar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
SLO
4 - 0
LEO
42%
25%
32%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
ZEL
1 - 1
LEO
67%
21%
12%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
LEO
0 - 0
SLO
17%
25%
58%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
ZRI
1 - 0
LEO
80%
14%
6%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
LEO
2 - 0
RUD
36%
30%
34%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |