Leonidas vs Nieuwenhoorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
37.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leonidas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
TOG
1 - 1
LEO
45%
25%
31%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
SJC
1 - 1
LEO
60%
21%
19%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
LEO
1 - 1
DEL
34%
24%
42%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
LEO
1 - 0
QUI
25%
23%
52%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | +3 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
LEO
0 - 3
ALP
30%
24%
46%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Nieuwenhoorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
QUI
1 - 4
NIE
61%
21%
18%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
NIE
3 - 2
DEL
42%
24%
35%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
NIE
1 - 0
VUC
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
RKA
1 - 1
NIE
40%
25%
36%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
NIE
2 - 0
SJC
46%
23%
31%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |