Copa Colombia . 1/64
Global 2-1
Leones vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
33.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
LEO
0 - 2
QUI
28%
30%
42%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 0
LEO
37%
24%
40%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 0
LEO
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
LEO
1 - 0
LLA
51%
27%
23%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
RSC
0 - 1
LEO
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 1
ORS
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 0
LEO
37%
24%
40%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
QUI
2 - 1
FOR
58%
25%
18%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 1
UNI
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
LLA
2 - 1
FOR
37%
28%
36%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |