Leones vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
30.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
RSC
0 - 0
LEO
36%
25%
40%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
LEO
0 - 1
BOG
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
COR
2 - 1
LEO
53%
23%
24%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
LEO
2 - 3
COR
27%
25%
48%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
BOG
2 - 2
LEO
41%
23%
36%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
LLA
1 - 1
FOR
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
FOR
2 - 3
LLA
46%
26%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
BOG
1 - 1
FOR
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
FOR
3 - 1
REA
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CAR
2 - 1
FOR
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |