León vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
16.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
VER
2 - 3
LEO
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
LEO
3 - 2
TIG
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
TOL
4 - 3
LEO
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
TOL
1 - 1
LEO
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
LEO
0 - 0
JAG
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 1
CAZ
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CHI
2 - 1
MOR
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 1
CHI
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 3
PUE
55%
24%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 5
PAC
40%
25%
36%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |