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Liga MX Apertura. Matchday 13

León vs FC Juárez analysis

León FC Juárez
69 ELO 53
7% Tilt -28%
215º General ELO ranking 866º
Country ELO ranking 25º
ELO win probability
75.1%
León
16.3%
Draw
8.6%
FC Juárez

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
León
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
8.6%
Win probability
FC Juárez
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
León
+14%
+6%
FC Juárez

Basic stats

53
47
POS
16
9
SOT
3
0
COR
1
0
GF
0
1
GC
11
10
FRK
69
53
ELO
2.3
0.6
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

León
Their league position
FC Juárez
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
15º
19
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
América
38
38
100%
Monterrey
35
35
100%
Santos Laguna
33
33
100%
Pachuca
32
32
100%
Tigres UANL
30
30
100%
Toluca
27
27
100%
Cruz Azul
24
24
100%
Puebla
22
22
33%
Chivas Guadalajara
22
22
33%
León
10º
22
22
10º
33%
FC Juárez
11º
19
19
12º
50%
Necaxa
12º
19
19
11º
50%
Atl. San Luis
13º
18
18
13º
100%
Mazatlán
14º
17
17
14º
50%
Tijuana
15º
17
17
15º
50%
Pumas UNAM
16º
14
14
16º
100%
Atlas Guadalajara
17º
13
13
17º
100%
Querétaro
18º
9
9
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
León
FC Juárez
Champion
0% 0%
Final season
0% 0%
Knockout stages
100% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%

ELO progression

León
LEO
FC Juárez
JUA
Monterrey
MON
Tigres UANL
UAN
Cruz Azul
CAZ
Toluca
TOL
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

León
León
1%
X%
2%
ELO LEO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Sep. 2022
NEC
Necaxa
3 - 2
León
LEO
45%
27%
28%
1852 1637 -215 -10
29 Aug. 2022
LEO
León
4 - 2
Atlas Guadalajara
ATS
53%
25%
22%
1840 1751 89 +12
22 Aug. 2022
PAC
Pachuca
1 - 0
León
LEO
53%
25%
23%
1846 2102 256 -7
19 Aug. 2022
SAN
Santos Laguna
2 - 1
León
LEO
54%
25%
22%
1853 2058 205 -7
14 Aug. 2022
LEO
León
0 - 3
Mazatlán
MAZ
56%
24%
21%
1877 1441 436 -23

Matches

FC Juárez
FC Juárez
1%
X%
2%
ELO JUA ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Sep. 2022
JUA
FC Juárez
2 - 2
Cruz Azul
CAZ
29%
26%
45%
1096 1862 -766 +4
27 Aug. 2022
PUE
Puebla
2 - 2
FC Juárez
JUA
60%
22%
18%
1091 1807 716 +5
21 Aug. 2022
JUA
FC Juárez
1 - 1
Mazatlán
MAZ
39%
28%
33%
1089 1465 -376 +2
17 Aug. 2022
ATS
Atlas Guadalajara
0 - 1
FC Juárez
JUA
60%
22%
18%
1074 1775 701 +15
15 Sep. 2022
JUA
FC Juárez
2 - 1
Pachuca
PAC
24%
24%
52%
1074 2119 -1045 0