León vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
12.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
TOR
1 - 1
LEO
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
LEO
3 - 0
VER
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
LAP
0 - 0
LEO
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
LEO
1 - 1
IRA
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
PUM
2 - 1
LEO
28%
27%
46%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
CAZ
0 - 3
MER
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
DOR
1 - 1
CAZ
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CAZ
1 - 2
ALT
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CAZ
2 - 2
UAT
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
TOR
1 - 1
CAZ
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |