Copa MX Apertura . Quarter-finals

León vs Cruz Azul analysis

León Cruz Azul
81 ELO 79
18.7% Tilt 13.9%
417º General ELO ranking 454º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
61%
León
21.7%
Draw
17.3%
Cruz Azul

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
León
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17.3%
Win probability
Cruz Azul
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
León
-8%
+16%
Cruz Azul

ELO progression

León
Cruz Azul
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

León
León
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Oct. 2015
LEO
León
1 - 3
Pumas UNAM
PUM
60%
21%
19%
81 77 4 0
04 Oct. 2015
MON
Monterrey
4 - 0
León
LEO
39%
25%
36%
81 77 4 0
30 Sep. 2015
LEO
León
3 - 0
América
AME
49%
23%
28%
81 83 2 0
26 Sep. 2015
QRO
Querétaro
3 - 0
León
LEO
37%
25%
38%
81 78 3 0
23 Sep. 2015
MON
Monterrey
2 - 2
León
LEO
41%
25%
34%
81 78 3 0

Matches

Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Oct. 2015
CAZ
Cruz Azul
1 - 1
Dorados
DOR
59%
24%
18%
80 69 11 0
01 Oct. 2015
CAZ
Cruz Azul
1 - 1
Atlas Guadalajara
ATS
52%
27%
22%
80 76 4 0
28 Sep. 2015
PUE
Puebla
2 - 1
Cruz Azul
CAZ
48%
26%
26%
80 78 2 0
24 Sep. 2015
PAC
Pachuca
1 - 0
Cruz Azul
CAZ
52%
25%
24%
80 78 2 0
20 Sep. 2015
CAZ
Cruz Azul
2 - 1
Pumas UNAM
PUM
48%
26%
25%
80 76 4 0
X