1. Liga Round 30

Leoben vs Sturm Graz II analysis

Leoben Sturm Graz II
67 ELO 56
-4.5% Tilt -5.2%
2402º General ELO ranking 2067º
33º Country ELO ranking 28º
ELO win probability
58.7%
Leoben
22.9%
Draw
18.4%
Sturm Graz II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
Leoben
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.4%
Win probability
Sturm Graz II
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Leoben
-49%
+8%
Sturm Graz II

Points and table prediction

Leoben
Their league position
Sturm Graz II
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
13º
23
13º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Grazer AK
69
69
100%
SV Ried
59
59
100%
Leoben
51
51
100%
First Vienna
51
51
100%
FAC Wien
49
49
100%
Admira Wacker
47
47
100%
Liefering
47
47
100%
Horn
41
41
100%
SKN St. Polten
40
40
100%
SW Bregenz
11º
36
39
10º
100%
SV Lafnitz
10º
37
37
11º
100%
Kapfenberger SV
12º
35
35
12º
0%
Stripfing
13º
35
35
13º
0%
Dornbirn
14º
33
33
14º
100%
Sturm Graz II
15º
23
23
15º
100%
SKU Amstetten
16º
16
16
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Leoben
Sturm Graz II
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Leoben
Sturm Graz II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Leoben
Leoben
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 May. 2024
DOR
Dornbirn
2 - 1
Leoben
LBN
33%
27%
40%
67 59 8 0
17 May. 2024
LBN
Leoben
2 - 0
SW Bregenz
SWB
59%
23%
18%
67 57 10 0
10 May. 2024
AWM
Admira Wacker
2 - 0
Leoben
LBN
47%
28%
26%
68 71 3 -1
03 May. 2024
LBN
Leoben
0 - 0
SKN St. Polten
SKN
38%
26%
36%
68 69 1 0
26 Apr. 2024
SVL
SV Lafnitz
2 - 3
Leoben
LBN
47%
26%
28%
67 65 2 +1

Matches

Sturm Graz II
Sturm Graz II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 May. 2024
STU
Sturm Graz II
2 - 0
Stripfing
SVS
38%
25%
37%
55 60 5 0
17 May. 2024
RIE
SV Ried
1 - 0
Sturm Graz II
STU
80%
14%
6%
55 79 24 0
12 May. 2024
STU
Sturm Graz II
1 - 4
SV Lafnitz
SVL
28%
24%
48%
56 65 9 -1
03 May. 2024
FCL
Liefering
4 - 1
Sturm Graz II
STU
72%
17%
11%
57 71 14 -1
27 Apr. 2024
STU
Sturm Graz II
2 - 3
Dornbirn
DOR
48%
24%
28%
57 58 1 0