Lenzburg vs Lerchenfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
16.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lenzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
OLT
1 - 2
LEN
34%
23%
44%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
LEN
3 - 1
SCH
76%
14%
10%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
LAN
0 - 1
LEN
71%
16%
13%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
LEN
3 - 1
GRA
71%
16%
13%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
BAS
2 - 2
LEN
46%
23%
32%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lerchenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
LER
2 - 2
THU
24%
22%
55%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
POR
1 - 2
LER
40%
25%
35%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
LER
1 - 1
FCK
51%
22%
28%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
LER
0 - 3
OLT
52%
22%
26%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
SCH
2 - 4
LER
45%
22%
33%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |