Lentigione vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
57.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lentigione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
CLA
1 - 1
LEN
19%
22%
59%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
LEN
1 - 0
FIO
32%
27%
42%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
FAN
1 - 1
LEN
58%
21%
21%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
LEN
1 - 2
CRE
39%
24%
37%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
AXY
4 - 0
LEN
38%
24%
38%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -3 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
PAV
0 - 0
SAN
78%
14%
8%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
PER
2 - 1
PAV
36%
26%
38%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
PAV
1 - 1
MOD
32%
26%
42%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ADR
1 - 2
PAV
18%
19%
63%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
PAV
3 - 1
CAL
79%
13%
8%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |